My Journey On Cable...!!

2008-02-06T13:29:00.000+07:00

Will Cable Kiss The Target?

2007-12-16T03:55:00.000+07:00

After the first target done, and if it breaks, the price is likely to continue its action to the next level. Warning: if it formed a false break on the first level, and breaks above the blue line, the trend might changed. Move your SL or set your trailing stop to lock your profit.

The bearish trend could easily continue next week if US data remains supportive. As housing sector in the US took a hit with RICS dropping to –40.6, i believe the BoE will cut its rate further in the first quarter of 2008. Beware of the strong support at 2.0000 level, it might breaks, or its just bounce there.

Play Safe, Always put your Stop Loss, and use the proper Money Management...Happy Trading!!!

Lil.advice.for.GU.Tomorrow..

2007-12-11T01:45:00.000+07:00

Play.safe..always.put.SL..

Forex Market Outlook

2007-11-17T18:44:00.000+07:00

What a week, i hardly to see a very attractive moving of EURO against US Dollar, each party struggle for the best stone position. Only one conclusion i've got, standstill...damn, i was hoping that last week would be another resistance breaking moment, and it was wrong. Euro chose to taking a rest for a while against USD. From this week price action, the major issue still centered on US recession and accompanying FED rate cuts that have strike the greenback to a big declined so far. The EURO still on a fly high against US Dollar, and as long as it still below the 1.4700, then the pair found its solid resistance there. The long euro stands below that resistance without breaking it, the more certainty that EURO reach its top. This is a very doubtful issue, as the euro continues to hold the uptrend, we are be able to gaining profits on it. But, beware, unless euro breaks 1,4500 then we face a big premature reversal. There is no major concern next week, the calender event is likely to be quiet, we have EZ flash PMI data of any import on the next calender. Will the high euro finally drive the region’s manufacturing sector below the 50 boom/bust line? If not, then i am very sure that Euro will redouble their efforts on a bullish way.
Meanwhile the yen continued to trade around the 110 level with LEI reading printing at 3 year lows. Bottom line, yen’s strength will only come from the carry trade unwind. So we are not pretty much see any interesting point from this currency.
The Cable stuff
The UK central bank would maintain the status quo as BoE came out with a very bad assessment of the UK economy. The unit broke the 2.0400 figure and the next data that will announced within a week to come are likely strengthen the faith that 2.0000 barrier could be tested before this year ended.
Now its time for a conclusion, since the chart provides us with a common pattern,i think the decline was cyclical rather than secular.

1.Week.Offline..

2007-11-17T16:27:00.001+07:00

Next.week.i'll.go.traveling.to.East.Kalimantan..
so.maybe.i'll.not.posting.in.this.blog.about.1.week..

Regards
Nebula

Will.GU.Playing.at.the.next.low.tunnel?

2007-11-15T01:20:00.000+07:00

Newest.on.GU

2007-11-14T08:19:00.001+07:00

Just.take.a.look.around.That.barrier..
Go.Long.when.that.barrier.break..

Latest.Lil.advise.for.Cable

2007-11-13T01:49:00.000+07:00

New.on.GU

2007-11-11T21:58:00.000+07:00

What.will.i.do.next.week..

This.PP.will.continue.as.long.there's.no.candle.open.price.above.
demand.line..

Aud/Usd.Updated.1

2007-11-08T00:48:00.000+07:00

EUR/USD...

2007-11-07T07:01:00.001+07:00

AU.Updated..

2007-11-07T06:57:00.000+07:00

Expectation.on.GU

2007-11-07T06:51:00.000+07:00

SL.30.TP.40

Yukk.Silahkan.di.Sell

2007-11-06T22:54:00.000+07:00

SL.0.9292.
TP.Sesukamu

Sell.Area.GU

2007-11-06T21:38:00.000+07:00

GU

2007-11-05T16:05:00.000+07:00

Newest...

2007-11-05T15:59:00.000+07:00

Will.be.temporary.until..new.web.launching..

2007-09-30T13:38:00.000+07:00

In 4 hr chart, GU is still uptrend but GU is near the resistance 2.0461. If GU breaks the resistance 2.0461, GU will be 2.0537, 2.0627.
IF GU moves below three red lines 2.0385, 2.0352, 2.0271, GU will be 2.0125. If GU breaks 2.0125, GU will be 2.000.

In weekly chart, GU is still uptrend. If GU breaks three yellow uptrend line, GU will reverse to downtrend.

sep 26 mo u t eki

2007-09-26T05:22:00.000+07:00

In daily chart, cable hasn't broken the uptrend line (yellow diagonal lines). Plus from the fo rexfa ctory source, cable forms the triangle chart pattern (or buyers and sellers fight each other). If you want to be really safe, just wait until cable breaks either red/blue line (resistance) or magenta line (support).

In 4 hr chart, if cable breaks the resistances (red line and 2.0208 blue line), the target may be 2.0314. If cable breaks the support (yellow line and 2.0091 blue line, the 1st target may be 1.9988, the 2nd target 1.9910

In hourly chart, the resistances (two diagonal red lines 2.0182 - 2.0186), the next resistances three horizontal red lines 2.0197, 2.0208, 2.0227. The support (two diagonal yellow lines 2.0122 - 2.0111), the next support three horizonal yellow lines 2.0083, 2.0073, 2.0061.

mo u tek i system

2007-09-23T05:16:00.001+07:00

2.0346 target long if cable can go through the two resistances (horizontal line 2.0213 or 1st target, 2.0232 or 2nd target)
The yellow lines are supports.
If break the upper green line 2.0040 , cable may go to the 1st target 1.9960, 2nd target 1.9870, maximum target bottom green line 1.9800.

Mo u tek i has brought the Tho m as DeM ark system into the for ex fact ory but there are some differents or modifications between Mo u tek i system and Th o mas DeM a rk.

Big.Rest..-2

2007-09-17T16:12:00.000+07:00

Never.Expected.that.GU.will.give.me.300.and.more

Don't Take This For Sure Road to Disaster

2007-09-13T18:19:00.000+07:00

A friend e-mailed me not so long ago....since it discussed a very interesting point, i chose to post it to this blog. Hope this post can makes us have another point of view. Here's the attachment:

Picking tops and bottoms has gained huge popularity over the past 30 years. I recently received an advertisement that proclaimed 100% accuracy in picking tops and bottoms (pivot points) in the S&P 500, down to the minute. I could not hit the order button fast enough. This is what I have been searching for ever since my trading first began 21 years ago. My heart was pounding, my palms were sweating and my dog was barking. I was about to cash in on the secret of all trading secrets!

Riiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight.

Actually, I would have hit the order button just for the pure entertainment value, but it was $5k. So I emailed him. What did I email him? "Are you trading it yourself"? Never got a reply.

Don't get me wrong, there is nothing wrong with trading systems that attempt to pick tops and bottoms using technical analysis. The problem is usually the trader implementing the strategy. More times than not, they have failed to properly prepare themselves for the risks involved and the realistic expectations of performance. Claiming 100% accuracy to the minute certainly doesn't help encourage the need for such preparation.

However, I did not want to spend this email on picking tops and bottoms as a strategy. I want to take a few minutes to reveal to you a very disastrous practice common to many traders who do not even realize they are doing it. It is one thing to pick tops and bottoms using a technical analysis strategy of some sort... it is an entirely different thing to pick tops and bottoms because you are in a position and are hoping that it won't go any higher, or lower.

I was recently talking with a trader who made the statement "Wheat can't go any higher". That was when it was below 800 just a few short days ago. Uh oh. I knew immediately this trader had a position on that would get nasty if wheat did go above 800. This trader was picking a top in a market, not because it was part of some well thought out, back tested strategy, but because he was biased for the top to come in at 800. It was 100%, pure, unadulterated bias. He was relegating his success to blind hope.

The word "can't" is a very strong word. When this word pops up because someone is in a position that he has not prepared to move beyond a certain point, not only can the market move beyond that certain level, it almost assuredly will. Even if it doesn't the first few times it happens, the trader then gets bold about what he is doing and starts using that nasty word on a frequent basis... it is only a matter of time before this road leads to ultimate disaster.

It is hard enough to prepare for the risks of picking tops and bottoms in markets using careful analysis. Picking tops and bottoms because of 100% pure, unadulterated biases is disaster in the making.

Hope You Enjoy this Post. To Ryan Jones, Thx for the e-mail, and many more that u've sent 2 me before. It really changed my point of view. Good Luck Everybody...

Me.Short.GU..-6

2007-09-13T03:38:00.000+07:00

SL.-35

Pound Shows Weekly Fall Against Euro on View Rates Have Peaked , -9

2007-09-10T08:40:00.001+07:00

By Anchalee Worrachate

Sept. 8 (Bloomberg) -- The pound fell against the euro this week on speculation U.K. interest rates have peaked while the European Central Bank will increase them further this year, eroding the British currency's yield advantage.

The Bank of England and the ECB kept their benchmark rates on hold on Sept. 6 as they assess the effect on their economies of losses linked to U.S. subprime mortgages. While the BOE said inflation ``may remain around, or little below'' its target, the ECB noted price risks ``lie on the upside.''

``We believe the U.K. bank rate has now reached its peak,'' said Richard Dingwall-Smith, chief economist at Scottish Widows Investment Partnership in Edinburgh. ``The risk the bank may push rates to 6 percent or beyond has receded in light of the ongoing global turmoil in financial markets.''

The U.K. central bank raised its benchmark rate to a six- year high of 5.75 percent in July and the ECB increased its rate to 4 percent in June.

The pound traded at 67.79 pence per euro late yesterday in London, from 67.65 pence on Sept. 5.

The U.K. currency also fell against the yen as Asian stock declines and concern over the credit-market crisis prompted investors to cut higher-risk currency holdings funded by loans in Japan.

The pound was at 231.30 yen late yesterday, compared with 233.51 on Sept. 6. The U.K. currency had its biggest decline in three months against the yen in August as concern over the financial-market rout forced investors to reverse so-called carry trades.

The Nikkei 225 Average fell 0.9 percent yesterday and 2.7 percent this week. The Morgan Stanley Capital International Asia- Pacific Index of regional shares declined 0.3 percent.

U.S. Payrolls

The pound rose to the highest in a month against the dollar after a government report showed the U.S. economy unexpectedly lost jobs last month for the first time in four years.

The U.S. non-farm payrolls data fueled concern the credit- market turmoil is spilling over into the broader economy.

The pound traded at $2.0295, from $2.0237 on Sept. 6. The currency has gained for three weeks against the dollar.

The three-month rate banks charge each other for pounds rose to the highest since 1998, suggesting lenders are still reluctant to offer cash to the money market for fear losses linked to U.S. subprime mortgages will hurt their counter-parties' ability to pay back loans.

``Unless we see a clearer picture of what actually is happening with the subprime sector, the problem in the credit market will persist,'' said Marios Maratheftis, a currency strategist at Standard Chartered Bank in London. ``In this environment, people are reluctant to put strong bets on high yielders, including the pound.''

Gilts Gain

In carry trades, investors get funds in a country with low borrowing costs and invest in one with higher interest rates, earning the spread between the borrowing and lending rate. The risk is that currency market moves erase those profits.

U.K. government bonds had a second weekly gain as investors bet the distress in financial markets will hurt the economy. Yields on 10-year gilts fell to 4.97 percent, from 5.04 percent at the end of last week.

The price of the 4 percent bond maturing in September 2016 rose 0.57 from last week or 5.7 pounds per 1,000-pound face amount ($2,095) to 93.13.

Economists in a Bloomberg News survey expect the 10-year yield to rise to 5.32 percent by the end of this year.

The yield on the December interest-rate futures contract fell 11 basis points to 6.34 percent yesterday. The contract settles to the three-month London interbank offered rate for the pound, which has averaged about 15 basis points more than the BOE's key rate for the past decade.

To contact the reporter on this story: Anchalee Worrachate in London at aworrachate@bloomberg.net

Cable..-10

2007-09-09T14:12:00.001+07:00

Try.To.Catch..-12

2007-09-07T18:05:00.000+07:00

Gu.on.thursday..-13

2007-09-06T04:34:00.000+07:00

Play.Safe
Put.SL..:)

Will.Shutdown.Soon..

2007-09-04T23:31:00.000+07:00

If.Someone.want.to.take.care.this.blog...
just.give.me.an.email..:)

How.Strong.This.Barrier?..-15

2007-09-04T12:53:00.001+07:00

U.K. August Retail Sales Rise After Weather Improves, BRC Says..-15

2007-09-04T12:39:00.000+07:00

By Svenja O'Donnell

Sept. 4 (Bloomberg) -- U.K. retail sales picked up in August as sunnier weather encouraged shoppers to buy more food and drinks, the British Retail Consortium said.

Revenue at stores open at least a year rose 1.8 percent from the same month in 2006, up from 1.2 percent in July, the lobby group, which represents 80 percent of Britain's retailers, said today in London. Total sales rose an annual 3.7 percent. The survey covers the period from July 29 to Aug. 25.

Consumer spending, which quickened in the second quarter, is helping to drive the U.K.'s fastest growth since 2004 and has yet to show signs of weakening from higher borrowing costs. The Bank of England will probably keep its key interest rate unchanged at a six-year high this week after five increases in a year.

``Food and groceries have done significantly better than in June and July,'' said Kevin Hawkins, the group's director general, in an interview. ``The August figure is a big improvement.''

Shoppers bought barbecue and picnic foods, chilled drinks and beer and wine as the weather improved in August from July, the group said. England and Wales had the wettest May, June and July since records began in 1766, according to the Met Office, the government's weather agency.

John Lewis Partnership Plc, Britain's biggest department store company, said Aug. 31 that sales at its Waitrose supermarket chain rose an annual 6.4 percent in the week through Aug. 25.

Rate Decision

Bank of England policy makers begin a two-day meeting tomorrow to decide on interest rates. Inflation slipped below their 2 percent target in July for the first time since March 2006. All 60 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News predict the bank will keep the rate at its current 5.75 percent on Sept. 6.

The Bank of England should avoid raising the benchmark rate because inflation is showing signs of receding while consumers are starting to respond to higher borrowing costs, Hawkins said. Britons have record debts of 1.3 trillion pounds ($2.6 trillion).

``The last thing we need is another increase in interest rates,'' Hawkins said. ``The five successive rate increases are now having an effect.''

The annual gain in same-store retail sales was lower than the 2.5 percent increase recorded for August last year, the group said today. A separate index of U.K. retail sales slipped to the lowest reading since November this month, a report by the Confederation of British Industry showed Aug. 30.

Government data have yet to show a weakening consumer. Spending rose 0.8 percent in the second quarter, up from 0.5 percent in the previous three months. Retail sales rose the most in five months in July.

The U.K. economy will expand 2.9 percent in 2007, the most in three years, according to International Monetary Fund estimates published July 25. That compares with forecasts of 2 percent for the U.S. and 2.6 percent for the 13 euro countries and Japan.

To contact the reporter on this story: Svenja O'Donnell in London at sodonnell@bloomberg.net .

Last Updated: September 3, 2007 19:00 EDT

Next.Week...-19

2007-09-01T15:20:00.001+07:00

Lil.dvice.For.Next.Week..!!

Play.Safe..
Always.Put.SL..

Good.Luck

Lil.Advice.For.Today...-21

2007-08-30T09:54:00.000+07:00

Play.safe
Dont.Forget.to.Put.SL

Latest...

2007-08-29T21:00:00.001+07:00

My.Chart.For.Today...-22

2007-08-29T16:10:00.001+07:00

Where.I.Stand.Today....-23

2007-08-28T04:20:00.000+07:00

Lil.Advice.for.Today..

Lil.Advice.Cable.This.Week..-25

2007-08-26T19:26:00.000+07:00

GU.Friday..-26

2007-08-24T03:28:00.000+07:00

My.Expectation.for.GU.Friday..

Nice.Pippin....-27

2007-08-23T18:35:00.000+07:00

Nice..

Days..-27

Lil.Advice.GU.Next.Week...-31

2007-08-19T21:39:00.000+07:00

Play.Safe..Always.put.stop.loss
Take.your.own.risk..
GU.H4.Chart

GU.Daily.Chart

GU.Weekly.Chart

Good.Luck

Is The Fed Inching Closer To A Rate Cut?~31

2007-08-19T20:22:00.000+07:00

RTTNEWS
8/18/2007 5:31:28 PM As the euphoria over Federal Reserve's bold step settles down, market participants are divided over whether the symbolic gesture of lowering discount rates mean anything significant to markets. The move signals that the central bank believes that the credit market squeeze poses material risks to growth. According to Wachovia Securities, even a significant cut in the federal funds target rate will not ensure the much-needed liquidity in the mortgage markets.

A discount rate is nothing but the rate at which banks borrow directly from the Fed. Unlike open market operations that call for Treasury bills and agency debt as security, the discount window accepts a wide range of securities, including asset-backed securities, commercial mortgage-backed securities and mortgage-backed securities. In addition to the reduction in the discount rate, the Fed also changed the standard terms of loans at the discount window to allow for borrowing up to 30 days against the usual overnight timeframe.

Following Friday's Fed move, Wachovia Securities said the probability of a Federal funds target rate cut before the September 18th meeting is now reduced. If the credit market recuperates, then even an interest rate cut at the September meeting looks unlikely. However, if the recent credit market turbulence hurts growth further and the core consumer price inflation continues to moderate, the Fed may resort to one or more interest rate reductions later this year.

The past week's economic readings were largely in-line with expectations and did not portend any weakness in growth. Among the reports released last week, retail sales revealed a 0.3% increase in July. Sales, excluding autos, were up a better than expected 0.4%. After auto and gasoline sales were stripped off, the gain was 0.6%. Almost all categories showed fairly good performances. Clothing store sales and sales at department stores rose 1.3% and 1.6%, respectively, suggesting that the concerns over a negative wealth effect pulling down retail sales are unfounded.

Business inventories rose 0.4% in June after increasing at a 0.5% rate in May. The pace of growth in retail inventories slowed to 0.5% in June from 0.7% in May. The inventories to sales ratio is below the highs of the last cycle and accordingly, Wachovia Securities expects inventory build up to add to economic growth in the second half of the year.

The trade gap revealed a narrower than expected deficit of $58.1 billion for June. Wachovia Securities expects the decline in the deficit to add 0.5% to second quarter GDP growth, which was originally reported as 4.2%. Export growth was bolstered by higher shipments of industrial supplies and materials to foreign countries. Another aspect of significance was that petroleum import prices remained flat.

The producer price inflation report suggested a 0.6% spike in wholesale prices in July. Energy prices climbed 2.5% in July, while food prices eased 0.1%. The core producer price inflation rate was 0.1%, which strengthens the case for a pause in the near term. Meanwhile, consumer prices were up 0.1% in July due to a fall in gasoline prices that offset to some extent the impact of higher food costs. The core consumer price inflation rate was 0.2%, rendering the annual gain to 2.2%. One encouraging aspect was the continued moderation in actual and implied rents.

Jobless claims for the recent reporting week unexpectedly rose, casting doubts on the job market's ability to hold up against the backdrop of slowing growth. The housing market data were also not that enterprising. Housing starts declined 6.1% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.381 million units. Building permits, an indicator of future housing activity fell 2.8% to 1.373 million units. With July's decline, housing starts and permits have dropped to levels that prevailed before the housing boom began back in mid-1997. Economists see a 0.5% hurt to GDP due to the softness in starts, while they also believe that the recent credit market turmoil could further impact housing starts, as financing becomes difficult for builders.

Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Fed's survey revealed that manufacturing conditions in the mid-Atlantic region stalled. The general business conditions index dropped to 0 in August from 9.2 in July, and the softness is also expected to have nationwide ramifications. However, the new orders index suggested expansion. On a surprising note, the employment and average workweek indexes expanded significantly. One can take comfort from the fact that the future general business conditions index rose to 5.8 points to 36.2.

The upcoming week's economic calendar is very light. The markets get to receive only a few second-tier economic reports. That said, the markets' pre-occupations continue to be the liquidity crisis and the tighter credit markets. The noteworthy reports scheduled to be released in the week are the new home sales and durable goods orders reports for July.

New home sales for July are unlikely to inspire the Street even if they reveal a surprising increase. Market participants are likely to view an increase in sales as a non-event, as they are most likely to have been achieved at the expense of prices. Of late, builders are forced to offer heavy discounts to push sales.

Avery Shenfeld from CIBC World Markets expects 1.4% growth in durable goods orders. Going by the strong order growth reported by Boeing (BA) for July, one can expect a solid increase in the volatile transportation orders. Nonetheless, orders for automobiles may continue to remain weak, given the waning consumer confidence. The all-important non-defense capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, are expected to show weakness, in-line with the recent trend. Accordingly, business capital spending is unlikely to offer much support to GDP growth in the near term.

Apart from these reports, the markets may also focus on the Conference Board's leading indicator index for July, the customary weekly jobless claims data for the week ended August 18th and the weekly crude oil inventory report.

Wachovia Securities expects the leading index to show a significant increase in July due to positive contribution from initial claims, consumer confidence, money supply and supplier deliveries.

Monday

The Conference Board is due to release the leading index for July at 10 AM ET on Monday. The index is expected to show a 0.3% increase for the month.

In June, the leading index fell 0.3% in June, reversing the gain of May. The Conference Board noted that the index was lower in four out of the past six months. The largest negative contributions in the month were from housing permits, initial claims for unemployment insurance and consumer expectations. However, the leading and lagging indexes rose 0.2% and 0.5% in June.

Tuesday

Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Jeffrey Lacker is scheduled to speak about the U.S. economic outlook in Charlotte, North Carolina at 12:30 PM ET on Tuesday.

Wednesday

The Energy Department's weekly Crude Oil Inventory report is scheduled to be released at 10:30 AM ET on Wednesday.

Crude oil stocks fell 5.2 million barrels in the week ended August 10th to 335.2 million barrels. Notwithstanding the decline, inventories remain above the upper end of the average range for this time of the year. Gasoline stocks declined 1.1 million barrels, and they remain below the lower end of the average range. Meanwhile, distillate inventories edged up 0.2 million barrels and are in the middle of the average range for this time of the year.

The average refinery capacity utilization over the last four weeks was 92.1% compared to 91.9% in the previous week and 92.7% in the year-ago period.

The price of WTI grade crude oil was $71.49 a barrel as of August 10th, down 5.2% from $75.41 a barrel last week and about 3.9% lower than in the year-ago period. The average nationwide price of regular grade gasoline was $2.771 a gallon as of August 13th compared to $2.838 as of August 6th, 2007 and $3 as of August 14th, 2006.

Thursday

The weekly jobless claims for the week ended August 17th are scheduled to be released at 8:30 AM ET on Thursday.

Jobless claims increased 6,000 in the week ended August 11th to 322,000 from the previous week's unrevised average of 316,000. Economists expected jobless claims to have eased to 315,000.

The less volatile four-week moving average increased 4,750 to 312,500 from the previous week's unrevised average of 307,750. Continuing claims for the week ended August 4th increased to 2.548 million from the preceding week's revised level of 2.547 million.

Friday

The Durable Goods Orders Report, which sheds light on the new orders placed for big-ticket items that last for more than 3 years, is expected to be released at 8:30 AM ET on Friday. Economists expect the report to reveal 1% growth in durable goods orders for July.

Last month, new orders for manufactured durable goods rose 1.3% following a 2.4% decline in May. The bulk of the increase was due to a 7.1% increase in new orders for transportation equipment. Shipment of durable goods fell 1.2%, while unfilled orders rose 1.4%. Inventories edged up merely 0.1%.

Data on New Home Sales, which measures the number of newly constructed homes with committed sale during the month, is scheduled for release at 10 AM ET on Friday. Economists forecast new home sales of 830,000 units for July.

In June, new home sales slid 6.6% to 834,000 from 893,000 in May. Annually, new home sales declined 22.3%. The median sales price of new homes was $237,900, down 2.2% from $243,200 in the year-ago period. New home inventories at the end of June represented a supply of 7.8 months compared to 7.4 months in May and 6.4 months in June 2006.

Refreshing-33

2007-08-17T05:25:00.000+07:00

Independence.Day

2007-08-17T05:00:00.000+07:00

INDONESIA.INDEPENDENCE.DAY
17.AGUSTUS.2007

My Other Record In Other Broker Platform..

2007-08-15T06:18:00.001+07:00

Just.Click.Text.Below..
Beat.Me.If.You.Can
SOME PEOPLE NEVER LEARN
1.Month.after.this..My.Blog.will.be.turn.off...:)
No.Need.To.Share.Anymore...
~~Just.Wanna.Be.Alone~~

I Hate some peoples who just have a big Mouth and said something stupid..:)
Me just want to share for my clients and my friends..
Thanks For You All Peoples Who's being good to me..
Count Down to September 19th..34 days left..:)
from today count down from 34 to 0..
And After September, 19th.. This Blog will be deactivated

Will.Be.The.Nice.One...!

2007-08-15T04:00:00.001+07:00

Long.Journey.Will.Be.The.Nice.One...!!!
Please.take.a.look.what.i.post.last.week...
To.Be.Continued....

Just.A.Lil.Advice...

2007-08-15T03:50:00.000+07:00

This.is.just.a.little.advice.for.this.week...
Trust.Your.Self.then...

Can.you.see.my.last.post?
Just.Closed.with.a.100.pips.from.2.0083..
Told.ya.for.being.prepare.between.my.red.and.my.green.thin.line..
Congratulation...:)

Tuesday...August.14th

2007-08-14T00:57:00.000+07:00

Just.wait.till.my.red.or.green.thin.line.break..

Expert.Advsior...!!

2007-08-13T20:23:00.000+07:00

REMEMBER.GUYS.....
If.Some.News.With.High.Volatil.(High.Impact)
Pleaseee..!!.Turn.Off.Your.EA
1.Hour.before.News...
and.Turn.On.it.again.1.Hours.After.News
Play.safe..

European Stocks Fall for a Fourth Week; HBOS, Antofagasta Drop

2007-08-12T00:50:00.000+07:00

By Alexis Xydias

Aug. 11 (Bloomberg) -- European stocks declined for a fourth week, extending a global rout that has wiped out about $2.7 trillion in market value, on concern that a widening credit crunch may hurt economic growth and erode earnings.

HBOS Plc, the U.K.'s largest mortgage provider, and Dutch lender ABN Amro Holding NV led the decline. Antofagasta Plc and Boliden AB paced mining shares lower as metal prices tumbled.

The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index dropped 2.5 percent to 362.77, a five-month low. The measure has fallen 9.4 percent since reaching a 6 1/2-year high on June 1. The Stoxx 50 sank 2.4 percent, while the Euro Stoxx 50, a measure for the euro region, lost 1.6 percent.

Shares in banks, brokerages and money managers tumbled worldwide amid signs that the debacle in the U.S. mortgage market is spreading. BNP Paribas SA, France's biggest bank, halted withdrawals from funds and the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and Bank of Japan pumped cash into the banking system, aiming to stem a collapse in credit markets.

``It's a bit of a can of worms that has been opened,'' said Toby Nangle, who helps manage $37 billion in assets at Baring Asset Management in London. ``We are not quite sure where it will end. We might see a major economic impact.''

National benchmarks fell in all 18 western European benchmarks. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 dropped 3 percent, France's CAC 40 sank 2.7 percent and Germany's DAX decreased 1.2 percent.

``Everyone is very afraid,'' said Jacques Porta, who helps manage $180 million at Ofivalmo Patrimoine in Paris. ``There's lack of confidence on the financial sector. I am selling banks.''

HBOS, Man Group

HBOS slid 8.4 percent to 873 pence. Man Group Plc, the world's largest publicly traded hedge fund company, tumbled 12 percent to 479.25 pence. Dexia SA, the owner of U.S. bond insurer Financial Security Assurance Inc., fell 4 percent to 19.16 euros.

Deutsche Bank AG dropped 3.3 percent to 95.19 euros. Germany's biggest bank said the assets in one of its investment funds have fallen by 30 percent since the end of July as subprime mortgage losses roiled credit markets.

The European Central Bank loaned 156 billion euros ($213 billion). The Fed added $38 billion in temporary reserves and the Bank of Japan added 1 trillion yen ($8.5 billion) to the financial system.

BNP, ABN Amro

BNP Paribas dropped 1.9 percent to 78.97 euros. France's biggest bank said it halted withdrawals from three investment funds because it couldn't ``fairly'' value their holdings after subprime mortgage losses rattled debt markets.

ABN Amro, the target in the world's biggest banking takeover, lost 3.4 percent to 33.85 euros on speculation bids by Barclays Plc or a group led by Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc may falter.

Recent market turmoil ``does jeopardize the ABN Amro deal,'' said Mike Trippitt, a London-based analyst at Oriel Securities Ltd. who has a ``buy'' rating on Barclays and Royal Bank stock. ``If you believe the market, the current share prices are telling you the deal isn't going to happen.''

Jochem van de Laarschot, a spokesman for Amsterdam-based ABN Amro, said there are ``no new developments in the offer process.'' Royal Bank Chairman Tom McKillop said the market turmoil won't derail the deal.

Antofagasta, the owner of three copper mines in Chile, slid 9.9 percent to 620 pence this week. Boliden, Scandinavia's sole copper producer, fell 7.1 percent to 139.75 kronor.

Copper prices in London dropped 3 percent in the week. Nickel plummeted 9 percent. Zinc and aluminum also fell.

Petroplus, Nokian Renkaat

Petroplus Holdings AG plunged 15 percent to 104.3 Swiss francs even after the Swiss refiner posted a second-quarter profit. Earnings were limited by maintenance work at the Cressier refinery and the BRC refinery, the company said.

Nokian Renkaat Oyj jumped 5.8 percent to 24.33 euros. The biggest Nordic tiremaker said that second-quarter profit rose 69 percent, beating analyst estimates, after it raised prices.

Rentokil Initial Plc increased 7.5 percent to 165 pence. Merrill Lynch & Co. raised its recommendation on the world's biggest pest-control company to ``buy'' from ``neutral.''

``After 3 1/2 years of declining profits, we believe Rentokil's profits momentum is at an inflection point,'' a team of analysts led by Andrew Ripper said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Alexis Xydias in London at axydias@bloomberg.net

My.Forecast.GU.Next.Week

2007-08-11T21:18:00.000+07:00

This.is.my.lil.prediction..
If.I.Got.Wrong.Please.Somebody.Remind.Me..!!

Good.Luck

EA~10.08.07

2007-08-10T22:52:00.000+07:00

2007.August.10th

This's.The.End.Of.EA.Journal..
I'll.Post.EA.Journal.Again.when.sumone.request.it...:)

Good.Luck

My.Forecast.on.GBP/USD

2007-08-10T00:53:00.000+07:00

GBP/USD.H4.Chart

GBP/USD.Daily.Chart

GBP/USD.Weekly.Chart

EA.09~08~07

2007-08-09T01:06:00.000+07:00

2007,August,9th

EA.08~08~07

2007-08-08T04:10:00.001+07:00

2007,August,08th

The Rules of Nebula Shoot The Sheriff Trading System..

2007-08-04T21:35:00.000+07:00

Nebula Shoot The Sheriff Trading System Including Below:

Entry Signal When Nebu Trend Signal Appear And Compare With Area Of FX~Sniper Indicator
Follow The Trend With Nebu Break Out Signal
Exit Signal Using WcciPattern Indicator
Remember That All Indicator Working Best On TF H4 Chart.

Entry Signal See The Picture Below

Rule Of Entry Signal

When Nebu Trend Signal Appear With Blue Star (Buy Signal) And Red Star (Sell Signal), You Can Entry To The Market..

All You Need Just Watch The FX~Sniper Below..

When The Red Line of FX~Sniper Already Cross The Blue Line You Can Follow The Nebu Trend Signal (Sell Signal)
When The Blue Line of FX~Sniper Already Cross The Red Line You Can Follow The Nebu Trend Signal (Buy Signal)
Remember.. When The Nebu Trend Signal Appear in Over Bough or Over Sold Area The Result Is More Better.

See The Picture Below

Follow The Trend Using Break Out Signal

When Break Out Signal Come Out Just Prepare For More Pips Use Trailing Stop 15+ For Short Term And Use TS 35up For More Mid/Long Term Trade.

See The Picture Below

Exit Signal

I tink the most important thing is just entry signal. You canvexit anytime you feel you have already got pips that u want. But anyway you can use WcciPattern (Thanks For Creator) as an exit signal..When blue cross come out just exit the market even you are in loss position. Remember that we can not predict the market 100% correctly. All we can do just try to make our system better and better and play safe to become a SURVIVOR.

Exit Signal Using Wcci (Woodie CCI) Pattern

Complete.Picture.See.Below

Be.Discipline.With.Stop.Loss...
Nobody.know.the.future.all.we.can.do.just.make.some.prediction
Do.Not.Use.More.Than.15%.Your.Equity

Good.Luck.

Nebula.Arung.Langi

02030807

2007-08-03T21:19:00.001+07:00

Outlook.Hari.Ini..!!

2007-08-03T13:00:00.000+07:00

What will happen at the Asia must be concerned of the Asian data..

Semalam terjadi perlawanan yg cukup memberikan arti bagi pasar finansial dan index saham baik FTSE maupun Dow Jones karena apa yg ditunggu oleh pasar mengenai data rate bagi kedua jawara pair tahun ini EUR dan GBP mengalami penekanan yg cukup serius.. Meskipun demikian pada sesi penutupan pasar NY semalam cukup memberikan dukungan penuh atas kembalinya transaksi carry trade antara EUR/JPY dan GBP/JPY. Sehingga memberikan peluang kenaikkan yg cukup signifikan bagi kedua major pairs tersebut pada saat penutupan sesi NY semalam.

USD
Tidak bereaksinya USD semalam dengan seluruh data yg dirilis dimana sebagian besar data-data tersebut yg biasanya mampu menambah kekuatan USD justru membuat USD dalam tekanan yg cukup berarti karena masalah subprime mortgage yang kembali berkembang mengingat di saat yg sama fokus pasar kembali beralih pada rate US yang saat ini dalam proyeksi pemangkasan..
Adanya pertemuan US Senate Banking dengan 3 calon kandidat FED yg akan mengisi posisi subprime mortgage department bagi seluruh negara bagian mengalami kebuntuan..karena para calon kandidat tidak memberikan komentar akan tindakan suku bunga dan inflasi yang terjadi karena pemangakasan FED beberapa bulan silam..

FED watcher Greg Ip juga memberikan pernyataan semalam mengenai keadaan beberapa data yang cukup melemahkan prilaku pasar finansial dan sepertinya FED akan kembali pada masalah semula yaitu Inflasi. Ip juga menyebutkan mengenai kredit yang semakin melebar ditambah kebobrokan dalam kinerja saham merupakan cerminan dari kebijakan yang ada, tetapi akan kembali menjadi titik dasar bagi FED dalam merancang perbaikkan kebijakan ekonomi dan bukannya suatu perubahan fundamental.

Saya rasa FED saat ini harus kembali mewaspadai reaksi dan tindakan pasar tanpa memperlihatkan keinginan dalam memangkas suku bunganya guna menstabilkan perekonomian.

Sesuai dengan statement dari Ip diatas bahwa beberapa data US yang akan dirilis tidak memberikan angin segar, senada dengan outlook semalam bahwa data manufakturinglah yang menopang USD selama ini diproyeksikan akan kembali meningkat..
Justru jika saya diijinkan memberi pendapat, bukan payroll yang akan menjadi fokus utama malam nanti tapi kelanjutan dan keseriusan pemerintah US akan kembali tercermin dalam data average earning dan average work week serta manufacturing payroll yang jika dirilis positif akan kembali melambungkan USD namun jika di rilis negatif maka akan kembali menekan USD dalam titik lemah beberapa tahun terakhir ini..
Data-data tersebut akan dirilis pada pukul 19.30 WIB.

GBP
Kekecewaan kembali melanda kubu GBP semalam setelah pengumuman penahanan terhadap rate di level yg sama pada ertemuan sebelumnya yaitu 5.75% seperti yang telah diproyeksikan oleh para analis..hal inilah yang kembali membuat GBP bergerak tertahan di sesi Asia dan Eropa.
Namun kembali menanjak pada sesi penutupan market NY karena aksi carry trade yang kembali merebak ditengah isu subprime mortgage US dimana para kandidat sepertinya kurang mampu mengendalikan kredit yang terlalu melebar.

Disisi lain yang menjadi penunjang kenaikkan bagi GBP pada sesi NY adalah proyeksi harga rumah yang merupakan salah satu indikator terpenting dalam inflasi akan mengalami penurunan di tengah tahun ini. Halifax UK house price menunjukkan angka yg cukup signifikan untuk periode Juli. Hal ini hampir serupa dengan apa yang dilaporkan oleh Nationwide (9.9% y/y utk Juli dari 11.1% pada Juni) dan memberikan pandangan bahwa 25bps kenaikkan lalu yang telah dilakukan oleh BoE telah memberikan efek yan sangat nyata kepada sektor perumahan. Yang mengindikasikan akan adanya penurunan terhadap inflasi.

Tetapi jika kita melihat data berikutnya, index RICS home sales-to-unsold yang tengah mengalami penurunan pada level 0.39 dari 0.47 high point digabungkan dengan data Halifax house price inflation series/Nationwide rilis data tersebut menunjukkan penurunan inflasi harga rumah hingga tengah tahun ini.

Akan menjadi semakin sederhana karena suku bunga fixed yang diberikan kepada pengembang akan berakhir dalam tahun ini. Hal inilah yang kembali akan memaksa mereka (pengembang) menjual rumah dengan harga yang cenderung memberikan pilihan manarik dari beberapa bulan
sebelumnya. Tetapi, disisi lain berlawanan dengan adanya ketakutan perubahan, penurunan perlahan yang terjadi pada housing market sangat dilemma karena akan kembali memberikan goncangan bagi pasar tenaga kerja dan berputar kembali dalam ketidakseimbangan antara demand/supply.

Data yang akan dirilis sore (15.30 WIB) nanti adalah CIPS PMI yang diproyeksikan oleh pasar kembali melemah..

Patut diwaspadai kinerja cross-rate EUR/GBP yg kembali menyemarakkan aksi carry trade setelah absent dari kegiatan yg membingungkan pasar karena masalah adanya isu kredit macet dan krisis yang dihadapi oleh Perbankan Jerman ternyata tidak terjadi pada salah satu perusahan peminjam terbesar IKB (IKBG.DE).
Hal tersebutlah yang kembali mengajak EUR kembali menanjak sesaat setelah pernyataan resmi dari Presiden Bundes Bank Alex Weber semalam.

Semoga bermanfaat en sukses selalu

Bank of England Leaves Interest Rate at Six-Year High (Update4)

2007-08-03T02:02:00.000+07:00

By Jennifer Ryan

Aug. 2 (Bloomberg) -- The Bank of England left its benchmark interest rate at a six-year high today as policy makers assess whether five quarter-point increases in the past year are enough to quell inflation.

The Monetary Policy Committee, led by Governor Mervyn King, left the Bank Rate at 5.75 percent, the highest since April 2001, the central bank said today in London. The decision was predicted by all 60 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

The nine policy makers said at July's meeting, when they voted for an increase, that they planned to wait for new inflation and growth forecasts this month before deciding whether further moves are needed. Inflation has held above the bank's 2 percent target for a 14th month, while stock prices have tumbled as the U.S. subprime crisis spread to markets in Europe and Asia.

``The bank is going to want to give previous increases a chance to have an effect,'' said Dominic White, an economist at ABN Amro Holding NV in London who used to work at the U.K. Treasury. ``The likelihood is that the economy will hold up and that inflation may be more of a problem. Rates will probably go to 6 percent.''

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index posted its biggest monthly decline in three years in July, and the risk of owning corporate bonds rose in Europe by the most in at least three years yesterday as the fallout from subprime mortgage losses spread. In the U.K., the benchmark FTSE 100 index has fallen 5.8 percent as of yesterday's close since the bank's last decision July 5.

The FTSE 100 rebounded today, rising as much as 0.8 percent to trade at 6301.80. It reached a four-month low of 6186.20 on July 30.

Investor Speculation

The credit-market rout prompted investors to scale back speculation about further rate increases. The implied rate on the December interest-rate futures contract was 6.19 percent as of 3:39 p.m. in London, down from a peak close of 6.34 percent on July 17. The contract settles to the three-month London interbank offered rate for the pound, which averaged about 15 basis points more than the central bank benchmark for the past decade.

The U.K. benchmark rate is the highest among the Group of Seven countries. It compares with 5.25 percent in the U.S., 4.5 percent in Canada and 0.5 percent in Japan.

ECB Decision

European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet signaled that the bank may raise borrowing costs next month for the 13 euro countries after keeping its rate at 4 percent today in Frankfurt. Trichet pledged ``strong vigilance'' in fighting inflation.

King has led the push for higher interest rates in the U.K., securing an increase last month in a 6-3 vote after he was overruled in June. The majority at the July decision argued that the rate is now ``probably only just on the restrictive side.''

Whether borrowing costs rise again may depend on the Bank of England's quarterly assessment of growth and inflation prospects, due to be published Aug. 8. In May, the bank forecast inflation would return to the 2 percent target by the end of the year, based on investor expectations of higher interest rates.

The economy has shown few signs of cooling. Inflation was 2.4 percent in July after reaching a decade high of 3.1 percent in March. Economic growth accelerated to 0.8 percent in the second quarter from 0.7 percent in the previous three months. Both measures were faster than economists forecast.

Inflation Pressures

The pace of economic growth has encouraged companies to charge their customers more, adding to inflation pressures. Travis Perkins Plc, which sells building supplies, said yesterday that it increased first-half sales after raising prices. An index of factory-gate inflation reached a record in July.

``The economy's not slowing down as desired and that causes a risk for inflation,'' said Kenneth Broux, economist at Lloyds TSB Bank Plc in London. ``We're looking for no further change in rates, but there's a risk they could increase again.''

Policy makers arguing against higher rates last month cited the risk that the economy may slow ``quite sharply'' as consumers with record debts adjust to previous increases in borrowing costs.

There are conflicting signals as to whether a housing boom, which was encouraging consumers to keep spending, has started to slow. HBOS Plc, the U.K.'s biggest mortgage lender, said today that house prices rose at the fastest pace in three months in July. Other reports from Nationwide Building Society and Hometrack Ltd. signal prices barely increased. Retail sales rose in June by 0.2 percent, half the pace of the previous month.

Record Rainfall

Record rainfall and the worst floods in 60 years may also have hampered spending, while also threatening to raise food prices because of crop damage. William Morrison Supermarkets Plc, the fourth-largest U.K. food retailer, said July 19 revenue growth slowed in the previous two months as the rain deterred shoppers.

``There's enough interest-rate restriction in the pipeline to slow growth sufficiently to keep inflation in check,'' said Nick Bate, economist at Merrill Lynch & Co. in London who used to work at the Treasury. ``There are already signs of slowing in the consumer sector.'' He says rates have peaked.

Economists are split on the outlook for interest rates. Twenty-six out of 48 surveyed by Bloomberg News predict a quarter- point increase to 6 percent by November. The rest forecast no change.

``Growth figures are still fairly strong, and inflation hasn't been falling quite as fast as the Bank of England expected,'' said Ross Walker, an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. ``For the moment, we are still on course for another rise in interest rates.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Jennifer Ryan in London at Jryan13@bloomberg.net

Last Updated: August 2, 2007 11:01 EDT

Outlook malam ini

2007-08-02T22:04:00.000+07:00

Big.Thankss!!!

USD

Tidak bereaksinya USD terhadap data tenaga kerja yg dirilis namun disisi lain indeks dow jones berhasil meraup keuntungan. Para ekonom mengatakan tidak adanya perubahan yg berarti pada data factory order sementara itu data terbaru mengenai ISM yang dilaporkan untuk bulan
Juli lalu memberikan gambaran mengenai aktivitas manufaktur dan penambahan order yang kembali berlanjut menguat pada quarter ke-3.

Mendukung data Factory Inventories serta revisi positif dari capital goods shipments dan data construction spending yang akan kembali mencoba berlanjut menguat pada kuartal ke 2 pertumbhuhan Gdp sebesar 3.6%

Sementara ketidakberlakuan data US dari tenaga kerja disebabkan karena US senate Banking kembali mendengarkan 3 org nominasi gubernur FED (negara bagian) selanjutnya..ada 3 org yg dinominasikan untuk menggantikan Gov Kroszner yaitu Gov K sendiri semudian Larry Klane dan Elizabeth Duke.

GU

GU dibuka pada sesi eropa di level 2.0310 GU sedang melakukan rebound hingga penutupan pasar NY disaat yg hampir bersamaan dengan rally pembukaan wall street di sesi Asia di level 2.0320 dan menekan hingga 2.0330 sebelum carry trade yg dilakukan oleh pihak Rusian melalui GJ dan EJ.

GU sempat menyentuh level low pada 2.0281 sebelum rilis data yang berhasil kembali berada pada level 2.0300an pada sesi Asia di siang hari. Dan tetap melanjutkan aksi bertahannya di sesi eropa namun tetap tidak mampu menembus high yg tercipta di sesi Asia. Ditambah dengan hold rate yang dilakukan oleh BoE..

ECB

Sementara dari ECB pun berkelakuan sama spt BoE dgn strong vigilance pada rate 4%nya meskipun pada pertemuan sebelumnya level rate ECB 4% sedang dalam keadaan close monitory..senada dengan pendapat para analis menenai pesan dari pernyataan Jean Claude Trichet bahwa ECB akan kembali menaikkan rate-nya pada pertemuan berikutnya pada tanggal
06 September.

Penekanan yang digunakan pada strong vigilance oleh Trichet mengindikasikan setidaknya ECB akan kembali melanjutkan kenaikan rate-nya dengan asumsi sekali kenaikkan per quarter. Namun diharapkan untuk berhati2 dalam memonitor reaksi pasar finansial.

Turn.It.Off.If.Sum.Big.News.Will.Arrive..

2007-08-02T16:21:00.001+07:00

~Peace.For.All~

EA.On.A.Live.Trading.Account..

2007-08-01T21:42:00.000+07:00

Some.Peoples.Always.asking.me..
Did.I.Used.My.Own.Expert.Advisor.For.A.Real.Trading.Account?
U.Can.See.The.Picture.Above..
Is.That.Virtual.Account.Or.The.Real.One??

Outlook.Hari.Ini...

2007-08-01T14:10:00.001+07:00

Thanks.To.You..

Outlook untuk hari ini masih bermuara pada msalah yg selama hampir 4 bulan mewarnai pasar finansial yaitu subprime mortagage US yang pada sesi awal kemarin mulai mereda hingga kembali membantu penguatan GU hingga ke level 2.0378. Nampaknya pelaku pasar kembali melakukan aksi carry-nya dengan meningkatkan holding pada pair yg ber-yield lebih tinggi dengan mengabaikan rilis optimis data consumer confidence semalam.

Sementara focus pasar akan proyeksi kenaikan rate GU dan EU kembali merosot, namun isu masalah subprime mortgage semalam kembali berkembang menjelang penutupan sesi NY yang kembali menekan Dow Jones hingga 100pips lebih serta memberikan kepastian ketidakmampuan GU dalam mensupport high sebelumnya. Perusahaan American Home Mortgage Investment semalam mengatakan adanya kemungkinan akan melikuidasi asetnya akibat dari dampak kredit macet pada subprime mortage yang kemudian menekan saham perusahaan tersebut hingga 90%.

Mengenai bahasan untuk pertemuan regular bank central baik di EU dan GU akan mampu memberikan arahan yg lebih jelas lagi akan kenaikkan dan penahanan rate di masing-masing..Perlu diwaspadai aksi carry trade dan taking profit yang akan kembali terjadi hari ini namun dengan pergerakan yg akan terbatas hingga rilis kepastian dari masing2 bank..

Sementara rilis data open trade akan kembali dikeluarkan pada hari jumat esok oleh pemerintah US yg akan kembali memastikan arah laju masing2 pair..

Smile.And.Wait.The.Big.One!!

2007-08-01T12:30:00.001+07:00

Smilee...........!!

Watch.Ma.Red.Thin.Line..

2007-08-01T02:47:00.000+07:00

Just.Watch.Ma.Red.Thin.Line..:)

Outlook...

2007-08-01T01:28:00.000+07:00

Monday Flash
Di sesi senin kemarin tekanan GU berlanjut terbatas hanya pada 2.0185 dari previous lownya 2.0229 akibat masih berkembangnya sentiment negatif USD dan isu subprime mortgage US belakangan ini. Namun penguatan indeks saham Eropa di sesi awal kemarin sempat mendorong rebound GU ke level 2.0289, mengabaikan lemahnya data perumahan Inggris dari survey konsultan property local. Hometrack, yang melaporkan ekspansi harga perumahan Inggris Juli ini adalah sebesar 5.9%, dibandingkan Juni sebelumnya 6.4%. Seharusnya hal ini memperkuat pandangan pasar bahwa kinerja pasar perumahan Inggris tengah terkoreksi.

Namun sejak menyentuh level tertingginya 2.0655(24/Jul), GU menalami koreksi yang pertama-tama dipicu oleh sebatas aksi taking-profit namun berkembang pada saat terjadinya aksi carry-trade yang menekan saham-saham global mendorong rebound UJ dan UCF terhadap mata uang utama dunia yg ber-yield lebih tinggi. Kembali hal ini bermuara pada lemahnya rilis indikator US, yakni new-home sales dan existing home sales diperiode Juni serta adanya alaporan kerugian dari sejumlah perusahaan home builder US yang turut membantu memeberikan tekanan negatif ke Dow Jones yang ditandai dengan penurunan hingga 300 poin di sesi kamis lalu (26/Jul). Concern teradap subprime mortgage yang belum kunjung berakhir dilingkungan pasar financial global menimbulkan risk-aversion para pelaku pasar sehingga memicu likuidasi carry trade yang men-support mata uang bersuku bunga rendah dan menekan mata uang bersuku bunga tinggi. Selain itu tekanan GU di pertengahan hingga akhir pekan kemarin juga dipicu oleh turunnya data perumahan Inggris periode Juli dari lembaga Nationwide yang disinyalir seagai dampak dari kenaikkan suku bunga Inggris hingga 5 kali sejak Agustus 2006. Senin sebelumnya lembaga property Inggris Rightmove juga melapirkan turunnya inflasi harga perumahan di Ingris dan Wales pada periode Juli. Kondisi ini menggambarkan bahwa lankah kenaikkan suku bungan BoE mulai memberikan dampak pada sektor perumahan. Proyeksi kenaikan suku bunga Ingris berangsur surut di pasar, dimana pihak BoE rabu lalu wakil Gubernurnya,John Gieve juga mengatakan bahwa langkah kenaikan suku bunga gradual adalah yang lebih baik untuk inggris tahun ini dengan target proyeksi kenaikan suku bunga Inggris di pasar hingga akhir tahun 2007 ini adalah 6%.

Sementara itu likuidasi dari aksi carry trade juga menyebabkan tekanan pada mata uang bersuku bunga tini seperti GU. Risk Averaging global dari concern pasar perumahan AS semalam kembali berkembang yang menjadi faktor utama pergerakan pasaar saat itu. Akibanya bisa ditebak UJ dan UCF yan menjadi subyek dari carry trade memeperoleh support secara global. Dikuranginya asset-aset mata uang dengan suku bunga tingi, seperti GU juga menghambat penguatan tajam GU dan kemudian menyebabkan koreksi tajamnya semalam.

Outook for today
Concern terhadap permasalahan subprime mortgage US saat ini sudah memberikan kekhawatiran tersendiri pada pasar finansila di sector kredit global.sementara perkembangan kinerja ekonomi US masih akan dimonitor oleh pasar untuk melihat apakah dampak subprime mortgage yang menular ada sektor kredit global akan memeberikan dampak pada perekonomian secara menyeluruh.

Di pekan ini data ekonomi akan dirilis semarak seperti data tenaga kerja US serta data manufaktur lobal termasuk US didalamnya akan menjadi fokur perhatian pasar meskipun data-data tersebut akan mendapat tempat di bangku belakang di tengah concern pasar yang terpusat ada isu subprime mortgage. Perlu diwaspadai rilis data NFP US, indeks Manufakturing ISM serta pertemuan regular BoE dan ECB (02/agus) nanti yang mampu merubah concern pasar terhadap US.

Jika data consumer confidence, payroll dan ISM dirilis optimis maka akan memperkuat pandangan upbeat dari the FED terhadap kinerja ekonomi US yang mungkin kan sanggup meredam proyeksi pemangkasan suku bunga US yang masih berkembang di pasar saat ini,, namun isu subprime mortgage masih akan berpotensi berkembangg pecan ini dari rilis data pending homesales (02/Agus).

Dari Inggris dan Eropa akan dirilis Indeks Manufaktur PMI masing-masing. Keduanya juga akan diperhatikan setelah data-data ekonomi masing-masing mengalami tekanan belakangan ini. Data indeks bisnis IFO Jerman dan indeks business confidence Belgia belakangan dirilis pesimis. Senada dengan data-data perumahan Inggris yang pekan lalu juga mengalami penurunan. Di sesi berikutnya juga akan dinantikan pertemuan regular ECB dimana kali ini tidak disertai dengan press conference dari residennya Jean Claude Trichet.

Sementara proyeksi yang sedang berkembang saat ini adalah ECB akan kembali menaikkan rate-nya ke level 4,75% pada September tahun ini, sementara BoE diproyeksikan masih akan melanjutkan satu kali kenaikkan rate-nya di level 6.00% hingga akhir tahun ini.

Will.GU.Kiss.Ma.Red.Thin.Line?

2007-07-29T18:47:00.000+07:00

Can.Be.This.Week..
As.Long.2.0252.Completely.Clear...

Here.I.Come....

2007-07-28T04:15:00.000+07:00

Just.Wanna.Post..This.Weekend..With.The.New.Style..
Here.I.Come.
~Lets.Smile.For.Big.Pippin~

Vacation~Liburan

2007-07-21T22:25:00.000+07:00

On.Vacation..
See.Ya.On.August..:)

Jez.Leave.A.Message..
email~fals.inheart@gmail.com
msn~fals_inheart@hotmail.com
yahoo.messenger~nebula_reality

Trade Wise, Trade Well!

Barclays Gets Dutch Court Backing for ABN Amro Bid (Update4)

2007-07-13T20:43:00.000+07:00

By Jon Menon and Martijn van der Starre

A LaSalle Bank branch, in Chicago

July 13 (Bloomberg) -- Barclays Plc moved a step closer to buying ABN Amro Holding NV for 63.2 billion euros ($87.1 billion) after a court cleared the Dutch company's sale of LaSalle Bank.

The Dutch Supreme Court today said there were ``no grounds'' to block the sale, overturning a lower court ruling that said ABN Amro should have asked shareholders to approve its $21 billion disposal of Chicago-based LaSalle to Bank of America Corp. The decision removes an obstacle to Barclays's agreement to buy the rest of Amsterdam-based ABN Amro in the biggest banking takeover.

ABN Amro would make Barclays the world's No. 6 bank by assets and give Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America the most market share in Chicago, the third-biggest U.S. city. While the decision is a setback for a group led by Edinburgh-based Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, which offered 70.9 billion euros for ABN Amro, investors and analysts expect a new bid.

``It is inevitable that the Royal Bank consortium will now bid for ABN ex LaSalle,'' said Len Riddell, fund manager at Martin Currie Ltd., which manages $26 billion including Barclays and Royal Bank shares. Executives at Royal Bank, Banco Santander SA and Fortis ``have put too much effort into this deal to simply walk away.''

ABN Amro's stock rose 0.7 percent to 35.56 euros at 2 p.m. in Amsterdam, exceeding Barclays's bid of 34.37 euros and indicating that investors anticipate a higher offer. Barclays shares rose 0.7 percent to 723.5 pence in London, valuing the company at 47.3 billion pounds ($96 billion).

Shares of Royal Bank, Britain's second-biggest lender, rose 0.5 percent to 637.5 pence in London. The group has offered 38.33 euros a share in cash and stock for ABN Amro.

`Removes Uncertainty'

Barclays, the U.K.'s third-largest bank, agreed to buy ABN Amro on April 23 in a deal that would double Barclays's revenue from consumer-banking, galvanize its push into markets such as India and Brazil, and boost securities trading. It is scheduled to send its formal offer to shareholders by July 23.

``We are pleased to see the Supreme Court has made a very clear ruling,'' Barclays Chief Executive Officer John Varley said in comments passed on by spokesman Alistair Smith. ``The ruling is definite and therefore removes uncertainty from the situation, which is good for ABN Amro customers and employees.''

For Bank of America, the second-largest U.S. bank after Citigroup Inc., the purchase of LaSalle would make it the biggest bank in Michigan and Chicago, ahead of JPMorgan Chase & Co. LaSalle would be Bank of America's largest acquisition since it bought MBNA Corp. for about $35 billion two years ago.

`Extremely Happy'

Bank of America ``is extremely happy'' with the judgment and aims to complete the LaSalle takeover as soon as possible, company spokesman Frans van der Grint said today.

Royal Bank CEO Fred Goodwin likely will resist arguments to drop the ABN Amro bid, said Mike Trippitt, a London-based analyst at Oriel Securities Ltd. in London.

``It is over as far as LaSalle goes,'' said Trippitt, who has a ``buy'' rating on Royal Bank shares. ``It would make sense for them to walk away, as LaSalle was a key part of the deal for Royal Bank, but you get the feeling they are not going to let go.''

Royal Bank's bidding group may now lower its bid by 1 euro a share, said Antony Broadbent, a London-based analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. In the revised bid, Royal Bank's group would receive $21 billion in proceeds from the LaSalle sale and wouldn't make a payment for breaking up Bank of America's deal, he said.

Royal Bank, which declined to comment on the court ruling, may still try to buy some of LaSalle's U.S. assets, said Simon Willis, a London-based analyst at NCB Group. Bank of America is most interested in expanding its retail franchise in Chicago, while Royal Bank wants LaSalle's commercial-lending operation, he said. ``A sale of some parts is not entirely impossible.''

Legal Wrangling

The Supreme Court's ruling comes almost three months after Dutch shareholder group VEB sought to block the sale of LaSalle to Bank of America by filing a suit with the Enterprise Chamber of the Amsterdam Court of Appeal. The lower court ruled in favor of the VEB, favoring Royal Bank. Barclays, ABN Amro and Bank of America appealed, sending the case to the Supreme Court.

``We are pleased that the Court has upheld our appeal,'' ABN Amro CEO Rijkman Groenink said in an e-mail today. ``We remain committed to acting in the best interests of our employees, clients and shareholders. It is in the interest of all involved parties to allow a transparent and swift process.''

Advocate General

The Advocate General, an adviser to the court, said last month that the sale didn't require shareholder approval. The Supreme Court followed that guidance in today's decision.

``The Supreme Court annuls the Enterprise Chamber's ruling and rejects the VEB's request to take immediate measures,'' Supreme Court Vice Chairman Hans Fleers said in The Hague today.

The ruling doesn't prevent shareholders from seeking to block the sale of LaSalle. VEB director Peter Paul de Vries, speaking to journalists after the ruling, criticized the decision.

``At this moment it's very likely the LaSalle sale will happen, but the takeover battle is not over,'' De Vries said. ``Everyone who thought shareholders had an extremely big influence was wrong.''

Goodwin was counting on LaSalle to boost Royal Bank's U.S. unit, where profit is flat after $13.6 billion of acquisitions during the past six years. The group's offer for ABN Amro ``has been structured and built, crafted, designed, whatever you call it, around the inclusion of LaSalle,'' Goodwin said at a May 29 conference in London.

Splitting up LaSalle

Royal Bank also wants ABN Amro's Asian operations and corporate banking business. Santander, Spain's No.1 bank, would expand into Italy and double its market share in Brazil with the acquisition of ABN Amro.

Fortis, the largest Belgian financial-services company, is seeking the Dutch retail banking arm and ABN Amro's asset- management and private bank units to create a ``Benelux leader.''

Barclays and the Royal Bank-led group last week won extensions to July 23 for submitting formal offer proposals to shareholders pending today's ruling.

``I don't think this will stop Royal Bank,'' said Dave Bradbury, who helps manage about $13 billion in assets including Royal Bank and Barclays stock at Canada Life Ltd. in London. ``We will have to wait and see what their next move is.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Jon Menon in London: jmenon1@bloomberg.net Martijn van der Starre in Amsterdam vanderstarre@bloomberg.net ; Ben Livesey in London blivesey@bloomberg.net

Gimme.Suggestion...:)

2007-07-11T01:04:00.000+07:00

Leave.Your.Comment.About.This.Chart..Pleaseeee..!!

Stay.Away...!!

2007-07-10T23:17:00.000+07:00

Me.Stay.Away..Right.Now..:)
Watch.this.pair.for.2-3.day.toward..before.do.sum.charting..

Marks & Spencer Has Slowest Sales Growth in 18 Months (Update5)

2007-07-10T23:15:00.000+07:00

By Neil Craven

Stuart Rose, CEO of Marks & Spencer

July 10 (Bloomberg) -- Marks & Spencer Group Plc, the U.K.'s biggest clothing retailer, said British sales rose at the slowest pace in six quarters after the wettest June on record and higher interest rates eroded sales of summer produce and fashions.

Revenue gained 6.4 percent in the fiscal first quarter, which ended in June, the London-based retailer said today in a statement. That beat the median estimate of 5.5 percent in a Bloomberg survey of 10 analysts.

Chief Executive Officer Stuart Rose said daily downpours reduced demand for summer dresses and helped sales of household goods instead. He expects domestic sales to ``remain very challenging'' after the Bank of England raised its benchmark interest for a fifth time last week.

``They're clearly beating the competition in what's becoming an increasingly bleak trading environment,'' said Andrew Bell, head of research at Rensburg Sheppards in London. He said the company had performed better than he expected as consumers tightened their spending.

Shares of Marks & Spencer jumped as much as 24.5 pence, or 3.9 percent, to 657 pence today in London, the highest since February, before paring gains.

The stock traded at 637.5 pence at 3 p.m. local time, reducing its decline this year to 11 percent. Next Plc, the U.K.'s third-largest clothing chain, has climbed 11 percent so far in 2007.

Total sales including franchise outlets and international stores gained 7 percent. The retailer has stores in Ireland and Hong Kong and owns 60 percent of a unit in Taiwan. Rose said at today's annual general meeting that the company is reviewing ``several large'' countries for expansion.

Wet Weather

Sales of general merchandise, which includes clothing, rose ahead of forecasts at 2.9 percent at stores open at least a year. Food gained 0.7 percent on that basis, lagging the 1.4 percent median estimate of 12 analysts.

``When it rains and people go off buying clothes, there is a certain amount of switch in spending'' to other goods, including home products, said Richard Ratner, an analyst at Seymour Pierce in London. Marks ``isn't really at the expensive end of homeware, and is probably better placed with food and clothing to ride what we think will be a very difficult time.''

Evolution Securities today cut earnings forecasts for Home Retail Group Plc, saying the owner of Argos is overstocked with summer homewares and will be hurt by higher rates. Tesco Plc, the nation's biggest retailer, has also predicted higher rates will weigh on consumers.

Market Share

Marks extended its market share in all of its product areas in the past 52 weeks, Rose said. The retailer cut prices on towels and kettles and extended ranges to include flat-screen televisions and laptop computers, boosting sales at its home unit by 13.4 percent. The wet weather limited the appeal of Marks' collection of knee-length, leaf-print summer skirts and crinkle lace-trim tops.

``Not many girls were running out and buying hot pants and t-shirts in June,'' Rose said on a conference call. ``Retailers don't like interest-rate rises. As every other one comes on it will make life more difficult.''

Deutsche Bank AG, Dresdner Kleinwort and HSBC Holdings Plc reduced their price targets on Marks & Spencer's stock in the past week, citing concern over the pace of revenue growth.

Managing Expectations

``M&S continues to lead something of a charmed life,'' said Richard Hunter, an analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown in London in an e-mailed note. `` The company continues to play down expectations. The actual numbers are sluggish by their own standards, but much of the sting had already been taken out of the news ahead of today.''

Rose, who joined the company in 2004 to fend off a bid from billionaire Philip Green, reported the firm's highest profit in nine years in May after cutting prices, using celebrities such as Twiggy in advertising and refreshing fashion ranges.

Marks & Spencer increased its share of the U.K. clothing market by 0.7 percentage points to 11.1 percent in the year ended April 1 and boosted its share of the food market by 0.2 percentage points to 4.3 percent. To fight back against Tesco and John Lewis Partnership's Waitrose chain, Rose said Marks plans to triple its organic-food range over three years.

Rose wants to add more food and overseas franchise outlets and is renovating stores to further boost sales. About 70 percent of the chain will have been refurbished by Christmas, which Rose said caused some ``disruption'' to trading in the quarter. The CEO said at the annual meeting that new stores are opening more quickly than the company had forecast.

``It seems to be working well,'' Ratner said of the expansion strategy, adding there could be ``danger'' in opening new stores too rapidly. ``I don't think Marks are at saturation point at the moment,'' he said.

Davies Speculation

Rose said he plans to meet this week with George Davies, the creator of Marks & Spencer's Per Una range of women's clothing, amid speculation the executive may quit. Davies will not sign a new contract when the current one expires in late fall, the Daily Telegraph reported on July 8, citing an unnamed executive close to the matter.

Private-equity firms ``would love to get their hands on'' the company's executive team, Rose said at the company's annual shareholder meeting in London this afternoon.

To contact the reporters on this story: Neil Craven in London at Ncraven1@bloomberg.net

The learning cycle for a newbie trader

2007-07-08T20:32:00.000+07:00

Realtrader.Blogspirit.com

Nice.And.Think.'Ve.to.Share.With.Any1

The learning cycle for a newbie trader
Hi folks.

Many of you don't know, but I used to be involved in training people in various things (not trading) and I thought I might share with you the journey that you take when beginning anything new. also if I show you my kind of writing style you might just buy my beginners forex book

This cycle is as true for trading as it is for learning to drive a car and consists of five components.

I'm going to take you through each stage so you can recognise exactly where you are in your trading journey.

Stage 1: Unconscious Incompetence.

This is the first step you take when starting to look into trading. you know that its a good way of making money cos you've heard so many things about it and heard of so many millionaires.Unfortunately, just like when you first desire to drive a car you think it will be easy - after all, how hard can it be?? - price either moves up or down - what's the big secret to that then - lets get cracking!

unfortunately, just as when you first take your place in front of a steering wheel you find very quickly that you haven't got the first clue about what you're trying to do. you take lots of trades and lots of risks. when you enter a trade it turns against you so you reverse and it turns again .. and again, and again.

you try to turn around your losses by doubling up every time you trade - sometimes you'll get away with it but more often than not you will come away scathed and bruised

Well this is stage one - you are totally oblivious to your incompetence at trading.Stage one can last for a week or two of trading but the market is usually swift and you move onto stage two.

Stage 2: Conscious Incompetence

Stage two is where you realise that there is more work involved in this and that you might actually have to work a few things out.

you consciously realise that you are an incompetent trader - you don't have the skills or the insight to turn a regular profit.

During this phase you will buy systems and e-books galore, read websites based everywhere from Russia to the Ukraine. and begin your search for the holy grail.

During this time you will be a system whore - you will flick from method to method day by day and week by week never sticking with one long enough to actually see if it does work. every time you came upon a new indicator you'll be ecstatic that this is the one that will make all the difference.

you will test out automated systems on Meta-trader, you'll play with moving averages, Fibonacci lines, support & resistance, Pivots, Fractals, Divergence, DMI, ADX, and a hundred other things all in the vein hope that your 'magic system' starts today.

you'll be a top and bottom picker, trying to find the exact point of reversal with your indicators and you'll find yourself chasing losing trades and even adding to them cos you are so sure you are right.

You'll go into the live chat room and see other traders making pips and you want to know why it's not you - you'll ask a million questions, some of which are so dumb that looking back you feel a bit silly. You'll then reach the point where you think all the ones who are calling pips after pips are liars - they cant be making that amount cos you've studied and you don't make that, you know as much as they do and they must be lying. but they're in there day after day and their account just grows whilst yours falls.

You will be like a teenager - the traders that make money will freely give you advice but you're stubborn and think that you know best - you take no notice and over leverage your account even though everyone says you are mad to - but you know better.

you'll consider following the calls that others make but even then it wont work so you try paying for signals from someone else - they don't work for you either.

This phase can last ages and ages - in fact in reality it can last well over a year - My own period lasted about 18 months.

Eventually you do begin to come out of this phase. You've probably committed more time and money than you ever thought you would, lost 2 or 3 loaded accounts and all but given up maybe 3 or 4 times.

Then comes stage 3

Stage 3: The Eureka Moment

Towards the end of stage two you begin to realise that it's not the system that is making the difference.

you realise that its actually possible to make money with a simple moving average and nothing else IF you can get your head and money management right

You start to read books on the psychology of trading and identify with the characters portrayed in those books.

Finally comes the eureka moment.

The eureka moment causes a new connection to be made in your brain.

you suddenly realise that neither you, nor anyone else can accurately predict what the market will do in the next ten seconds, never mind the next 20 mins.

You start to work just one system that you mould to your own way of trading, you're starting to get happy and you define your risk threshold.

You start to take every trade that your 'edge' shows has a good probability of winning with.

when the trade turns bad you don't get angry or even because you know in your head that as you couldn't possibly predict it it isn't your fault - as soon as you realise that the trade is bad you close it . The next trade will have higher odds of success cos you know your simple system works.

You have realised in an instant that the trading game is about one thing - consistency of your 'edge' and your discipline to take all the trades no matter what.

You learn about proper money management and leverage - risk of account etc etc - and this time it actually soaks in and you think back to those who advised the same thing a year ago with a smile

you weren't ready then, but you are now.

The eureka moment came the moment that you truly accepted that you cannot predict the market.

Then comes stage four

Stage 4: Conscious Competence

Ok, now you are making trades whenever your system tells you to.

you take losses just as easily as you take wins

you now let your winners run to their conclusion fully accepting the risk and knowing that your system makes more money than it loses and when you're on a loser you close it swiftly with little pain to your account

You are now at a point where you break even most of the time - day in day out, you will have weeks where you make 100 pips and weeks where you lose 100 pips - generally you are breaking even and not losing money.

you are now conscious of the fact that you are making calls that are generally good and you are getting respect from other traders as you chat the day away.

You still have to work at it and think about your trades but as this continues you begin to make more money than you lose consistently.

you'll start the day on a 20 pip win, take a 35 pip loss and have no feelings that you've given those pips back because you know that it will come back again.

you will now begin to make consistent pips week in and week out 25 pips one week, 50 the next and so on.

this lasts about 6 months

then comes Stage Five

Stage 5: Unconscious Competence

Now were cooking - just like driving a car, every day you get in your seat and trade - you do everything now on an unconscious level.

you are running on autopilot. You start to pick the really big trades and getting 100 pips in a day is becoming quite normal to you.

This is trading utopia - you have mastered your emotions and you are now a trader with a rapidly growing account.

you're a star in the trading chat room and people listen to what you say. you recognise yourself in their questions from about two years ago.

you pass on your advice but you know most of it is futile cos they're teenagers - some of them will get to where you are - some will do it fast and others will be slower - literally dozens and dozens will never get past stage two but a few will.

Trading is no longer exciting - in fact it's probably boring you to bits - like everything in life when you get good at it or do it for your job - it gets boring - you're doing your job and that's that.

You can now say with your head held high "I'm a currency trader"

I hope you've enjoyed this text and can recognise yourself in some stage or another - personally I'm at stage four now and am constantly making good amounts of pips - I've been trading in total for about 3 years and the first two were hell on earth.

for those of you reading this who stick with it, ill look forward to the banter we have together in the future when we are both bored to death during the trading day

U.K. Gilts Post Weekly Decline on View Rates Will Keep Rising

2007-07-07T19:52:00.000+07:00

By Anchalee Worrachate

July 7 (Bloomberg) -- Gilts fell this week, pushing 10-year yields to the highest in more than seven years, on speculation the Bank of England will keep raising the cost of borrowing to cool inflation.

The BOE raised rates for a fifth time in 12 months this week, to a six-year high of 5.75 percent, and signaled further increases may be needed. The central bank said inflation risks in the medium term ``lie to the upside.'' The government said yesterday factory production rose in May to the highest in almost six years, a sign rates aren't too high to support economic expansion.

``Yields are going to move higher from here,'' said Graeme Caughey, who helps manage 100 billion pounds of assets for Scottish Widows Investment Partnership Ltd. in Edinburgh. Bonds maturing in 10 years or more ``still have to price in some of these moves'' in interest rates by the Bank of England.

The yield on the 4 percent gilt maturing in September 2016 rose to as high as 5.55 percent yesterday, the highest since February 2000, from 5.45 percent at the end of last week.

The yield was at 5.54 percent at 4:28 p.m. yesterday in London. The price of the bond fell 0.55, or 5.5 pounds per 1,000- pound ($2,013) face amount, to 89.06 from June 29.

Two-year yields rose 4 basis points from last week to 5.80 percent. Yields move inversely to prices.

The pound rose 0.2 percent versus the dollar this week after earlier falling as strong U.S. economic reports prompted a decline in the extra yield U.K. bonds offer over Treasuries.

U.S. Payrolls

The yield gap between Britain's 10-year gilts and U.S. debt shrank after the Labor Department said yesterday U.S. employers added more jobs in June than expected. The spread between 10-year gilts and Treasuries narrowed to 37 basis points after the data were released, from 46 points on July 4.

The pound traded at $2.0129 late yesterday, from $2.0087 on June 29. Earlier this week it rose to as high as $2.0207, the strongest since June 1981. The currency was at 67.73 pence per euro from 67.60 on July 5.

``The broader theme on the market is ongoing sterling strength,'' said Gavin Friends, head of currency strategy at Commerzbank AG in London.

The pound has gained 2.5 percent against the dollar and around 6 percent against the yen this year as investors bought the currency to take advantage of the highest benchmark interest rates among the Group of Seven industrialized countries.

To contact the reporter on this story: Anchalee Worrachate in London at aworrachate@bloomberg.net

What.Can.I.Say....

2007-07-05T21:22:00.000+07:00

Bear.Party.Already.Started...

SL...:)

2007-07-05T18:09:00.000+07:00

Stop.Loss.at.the.Entry.Point.Breached..
Coz.Wut?..
Think.coz..5.75%.GBP.Rate..:)
~~Waiting.Next.Moment.Then~~

New.Journey.Already.Begun...!!

2007-07-05T17:45:00.000+07:00

This.is.Ma.New.Journey..
Hope.Will.Be.Better.Than.Before...
Put.SL..At..2.0200..Actually.Ma.Sell.Limit.Which.Already.Executed.Yesterday..
1st.TP..20111..2nd.TP..19940

Done...

2007-07-04T13:40:00.001+07:00

This's.The.End..Of.Ma.Long.Journey.on.GBP/USD.
~20202~What.a.nice.number..!!
My.Sell.Limit.at.2.0200..already.Executed..
Lets.say..2.0159..will.be.ma.lil.barrier...And.Then.2.0111..Medium.Barrier..
But.If.it's.false..Me.Preparing.to.put.SL.2.0257..And.Waiting.For.Next.Moment

Play.Safe...!

2007-07-03T17:58:00.000+07:00

GU.Still.in.Bullish.Area..Play.safe..Secure.Ur.Profit..:)

Autonomy Buys Zantaz; Sales, Profit Beat Analysts' Estimates

2007-07-03T17:56:00.000+07:00

By Alex Armitage

July 3 (Bloomberg) -- Autonomy Corp., which sells database search software, bought closely held e-mail archive company Zantaz Inc. for $375 million and said second-quarter revenue and pretax profit beat analysts' highest estimates. The stock had its biggest gain in 18 months.

Sales and pretax profit were ``significantly'' better than the average estimates of analysts and ``ahead of the top end'' of forecasts, Autonomy said today in a statement of its preliminary results. The company was predicted to have sales of $70.2 million, the average of four estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Cambridge, England-based Autonomy, which won contracts with the U.S. Defense Department and Fidelity Investments in the quarter, is benefiting from demand for tools used in search, classification and analysis of text, video and audio databases. Autonomy plans to combine Zantaz's e-mail archive and analysis products with Autonomy's other search software.

``Today's announcement is positive,'' JPMorgan Cazenove analyst Daud Khan wrote in a research note. Khan, who rates the company ``in-line,'' estimates the company had $69.6 million in sales and pretax profit of $24.7 million.

Autonomy shares rose 65.5 percent, or 9 percent, to 793.5 pence at 10:28 a.m. in London. Earlier it climbed as much as 11 percent, the most since November 2005. The stock had risen 86 percent in the past 12 months before today.

Sales Growth

The second-quarter results extend the company's sales growth to 11 consecutive quarters.

Pretax profit in the quarter was forecast to be $23.4 million, the average of three estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

``A lot of this has to do with companies switching'' to Autonomy's database search software, Chief Executive Officer Michael Lynch, who owns 10 said in an interview. ``Autonomy has had a strong second quarter.''

Autonomy, in a separate statement, also said it will sell 12.7 million new shares to help fund the purchase of Pleasanton, California-based Zantaz.

Citigroup Inc. and UBS AG managed the sale.

Zantaz's customers include banks and nine of the top 10 global law firms. The acquisition of Zantaz, which will add to earnings in the first six months after the August close, will reduce costs by $25 million a year.

To contact the reporters on this story: Alex Armitage in London at aarmitage@bloomberg.net

20202..i'm.comingggggg!!!

2007-07-02T04:14:00.000+07:00

Hope.2.0125..'ll.be.break..
Sell.Limit.at..2.0200
Sell.Stop.at..1.9995
Yihhaaaaaaaaaa...

Done..:)Just.Waiting.For.Next.Week

2007-06-29T21:29:00.001+07:00

~~All.Done~~

Push.2.The.Limit...

2007-06-25T07:39:00.000+07:00

Push.2.The.Limit..!!

Lil.Bit.More.........

2007-06-23T01:19:00.001+07:00

Please.Lil.Bit.More...

Next.Journey...

2007-06-21T01:58:00.001+07:00

Next.Journey....
1.9885/95..break..be.carefull..
1.9947/63..break..hem..

Done..:)..what's.Next?

2007-06-20T15:40:00.001+07:00

What's.Next?
~~~Big.Smileeeeeeeeee~~~

1st.TP.Done...:)

2007-06-19T19:27:00.000+07:00

Done..whats.next..:)

Are We The Same Journey ?

2007-06-19T02:00:00.000+07:00

Check Out Mine...:)

Shot.The.Sherif.....!!!

2007-06-17T23:42:00.000+07:00

Shot.The.Sheriff.Trading.System....
~~Ma.Dream.Come.True~~

Empty....:)

2007-06-14T21:36:00.000+07:00

Empty.....Just.Wait.Till.Ma.Space.Been.Repair..:)

Me.Confused...

2007-06-12T00:26:00.000+07:00

Confused..~No~

Waiting.For.Something.:)

2007-06-12T00:05:00.000+07:00

~Preparing.New.Release~

Hot Update (6)

2007-06-09T03:18:00.000+07:00

Hot Updated (5)

2007-06-09T00:16:00.000+07:00

If U Get Loss, Lets EA Do It For U ..:)

2007-06-08T16:43:00.000+07:00

I am waiting for Cut loss:)

The Worst Scenario.....

2007-06-08T14:42:00.000+07:00

Hot Update (4)

2007-06-08T13:13:00.001+07:00

Yihhaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa...........

Go Go Go.. Long.... :)

2007-06-08T06:19:00.000+07:00

Preparing For A Big Pips....
'Ve Nice pippin all....

Hot Update (3)

2007-06-08T00:12:00.000+07:00

Is That Really Hot? :)

Hot Update (2)

2007-06-07T21:41:00.000+07:00

Hot Update From Ma EA

Latest One........

2007-06-07T19:25:00.000+07:00

Latest One... What I Did
the picture inside the Box u can find in ma older post (Watch Out Title)